Bitcoin All-Time High: $19,891.00 - How Many Days Since?

Actual headline from NYMag: "The Dow, S&P 500, and Bitcoin Prices Just Hit All-Time Highs"

Actual headline from NYMag: submitted by DTanner to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

End of day summary - 09/11

The Dow rose 131.06, or 0.48%, to 27,665.64, the Nasdaq lost 66.05, or 0.60%, to 10,853.55, and the S&P 500 advanced 1.78, or 0.05%, to 3,340.97.
Traders at /thewallstreet cheered as volatility returned to the stock market.
The major averages finished Friday's trading in mixed fashion, as dip buyers provided support for the Dow and the continued tech selloff made the Nasdaq the laggard once again. The chances for another round of fiscal stimulus ahead of the election were hurt yesterday after Democrats stopped the passage of the "skinny" GOP package, but the U.S. economy looks poised for a strong rebound in Q3, corporate earnings continue to largely overshoot pessimistic forecasts and the Fed remains "all in," leaving investors to mull the cross-currents.
Similar to the days before, today's price action was technically-oriented given the absence of market-moving news and the losses in stocks like AAPL, -1.3%, AMZN, -1.9%, and MSFT, -0.7% on no specific corporate news. Apple shares fell 7.4% this week.
The difference today was that their losses were offset by relative strength in the cyclical sectors, namely industrials (+1.4%), materials (+1.3%), and financials (+0.8%). Still, when Apple and Amazon are down more than 1.0%, there must be more winners than losers to make a meaningful difference.
There were more of the latter on Friday, as declining issues outpaced advancing issues at the NYSE and Nasdaq. The information technology (-0.8%), consumer discretionary (-0.3%), and communication services (-0.3%) sectors ended the day in negative territory due to their exposure to the mega-cap stocks.
Interestingly, the S&P 500 was down as much as 0.9% intraday and fell below its 50-day moving average (3322). A broad rebound in the afternoon, however, helped the benchmark index turn positive and close above the key technical level.
In TikTok news, President Trump said that the deadline established for China's ByteDance to sell video-sharing service TikTok's U.S. operations would not be extended, Reuters reported. "It'll either be closed up or they'll sell it," the president told reporters, adding, "There will be no extension of the TikTok deadline." MSFT in partnership with WMT and Oracle have been seen as the leading suitors to purchase TikTok's operations in the U.S., Canada, Australia and New Zealand.
Subsequently, Reuters reported that Chinese officials are so opposed to a forced sale of TikTok's U.S. operations that they would prefer to see the app shut down in the U.S. over that conclusion. Reuters noted that China was willing, if needed, to use revisions it made to a technology exports list on Aug. 28 to delay any deal reached by ByteDance.
Electric vehicle hopeful NKLA continued its fight this morning with a short-seller, which now appears to be "short-sellers." Nikola issued a statement in response to claims made about the company by activist short-seller Hindenburg Research yesterday, calling the firm's report "a hit job for short sale profit driven by greed." Nikola, which added that it has "nothing to hide and we will refute these allegations," announced that it has retained law firm Kirkland & Ellis to evaluate potential legal recourse and intends to bring the actions of the short-seller, together with evidence and documentation, to the attention of the SEC. Following the company's press release regarding the response, Andrew Left's Citron Research said via Twitter, "Congrats to Hindenburg for exposing what appears to be a total fraud with $NKLA. Citron will cover half of all legal expenses. You can't SLAPP the truth away. Explains why Milton sold at $10 this June $NKLA response warrants an SEC investigation to maintain integrity of EV mkt." After having dropped 11% on Thursday, Nikola shares fell a further 14.5%.
Meanwhile, CNBC reported that AAPL has updated its App Store guidelines ahead of the release of iOS 14, with one major revision relating to game streaming services. The tech giant said in its revised guidelines that services such as Google Stadia (GOOG) and Microsoft xCloud are explicitly permitted, though under the condition that games offered in the service must be downloaded directly from the App Store, not from an all-in-one app.
Among the noteworthy gainers was Shares of ORCL, which was in focus after the company reported what Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow called a "surprisingly strong beat" and growth on licenses despite the continued macro uncertainty. NOG, which rose 1.3% after acquiring interests in the Delaware Basin and raising Q3 production guidance. Also higher was CX, which gained 8.3% in New York after Morgan Stanley analyst Nikolaj Lippmann upgraded the stock to Overweight from Equal Weight.
Among the notable losers was AMRS, which dropped 25.8% after responding to a lawsuit filed by Lavvan against the company for patent infringement and trade secret misappropriation. Also lower was CHWY, which declined 9.8% after reporting some cats have tried to take over the company with whiteclaws.
Despite a blowout fiscal Q4 report, PTON were 4.2% lower following last night's from the fitness products and services provider.
Elsewhere stocks were higher, with the Shanghai composite up 0.79% to around 3,260.35 while the Shenzhen component rose 1.57% to about 12,942.95. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index advanced 0.78% to end its trading day at 24,503.31.

Currency

The U.S. Dollar Index (93.35, +0.01, unch) reclaimed its overnight loss, gaining 0.7% for the week.

Treasury

U.S. Treasuries ended the abbreviated week with modest gains across the curve. The cash session started with some light selling for the second day in a row, but the market recovered from the early dip with ease.

Commodity

Gold slipped on Friday on a lack of further stimulus from the European Central Bank and the U.S. government, but for the week the safe-haven metal was set to end higher. Crude remained on track for a second weekly drop as investors expected a global glut to persist if demand weakens further with rising COVID-19 cases in some countries.

Crypto

Bitcoin is struggling to gather upside traction despite repeated defense of support at $10,000. The top cryptocurrency’s sell-off from the August high of $12,476 looks to have come to a halt near $10,000 over the past seven days.

YTD

  • FAAMG + some penny stocks +21.0% YTD
  • Spoos +3.4% YTD
  • Old man -3.1% YTD
  • Russy -10.3% YTD

CPI

Total CPI increased 0.4% m/m while core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose 0.4%. Those gains left total CPI up 1.3% yyr and core CPI up 1.7% yyr.
The key takeaway from the report, which featured the largest increase in the index for used cars and trucks (+5.4%) since March 1969, is that the increase in the all items index was broad-based; nonetheless, annual inflation rates are still running well below 2.0%, so there is still more noise than bothersome policy signal in the August report.

IPO (Most Anticipated)

Week of Sep14-18
  • Company: AMWL Amwell (NYSE) | Leading telehealth company enabling digital delivery of care for healthcare’s key stakeholders | Initial Shares: 35.0 M | Initial Range: $14.00-16.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Piper Jaffray, UBS, Credit Suisse, Cowen
  • Company: BNL Broadstone Net Lease | REIT that acquires, owns, and manages primarily single-tenant commercial real estate properties | Initial Shares: 33.5 M | Initial Range: $17.00-19.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, BMO Capital Markets, Morgan Stanley, Capital One Securities, Truist Securities
  • Company: FROG JFrog (Nasdaq) | Developer of an end-to-end, hybrid, universal DevOps platform | Initial Shares: 11.6 M | Initial Range: $33.00 -37.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, BofA Securities
  • Company: SNOW Snowflake (NYSE) | Developer of a data cloud platform that enables customers to consolidate data into a single source to drive business insights | Initial Shares: 28.0 M | Initial Range: $75.00-85.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Allen & Co, Citigroup
  • Company: STEP StepStone Group (Nasdaq) | Global private markets investment firm | Initial Shares: 17.5 M | Initial Range: $15.00-17.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, UBS Investment Bank
  • Company: SUMO Sumo Logic (Nasdaq) | Pioneer of Continuous Intelligence, a new category of software, which enables organizations to address opportunities presented by digital transformation and cloud computing | Initial Shares: 14.8 M | Initial Range: $17.00-21.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, RBC Capital, Jefferies
  • Company: U Unity Software (NYSE) | Leading platform for creating and operating interactive, real-time 3D content | Initial Shares: 25.0 M | Initial Range: $34.00-42.00 | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, BofA, Barclays, William Blair
Week of Sep21-25
  • Company: PLTR Palantir Technologies (NYSE) | Software developer for defense, intelligence agencies, law enforcement, and commercial enterprises | Initial Shares: 244.2 | Initial Range: NA | Priced On: NA | Opened: NA | Underwriters: Lead: Direct Listing

What's next?

Beer o'clock
Summary scraped from the interweb. Took 0.41 seconds.
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Wall Street Breakfast: Volatile Week Ends In Quad Witching Session

U.S. equity futures held up overnight following another selloff on Wall Street that was led by major tech names. Contracts tied to the Dow and S&P 500 are hugging the flatline, while Nasdaq futures pared recent losses by climbing 0.6%. Mixed messaging around a potential coronavirus vaccine, as well as the passage of further fiscal stimulus, weighed on the market, while investors are gearing up for consumer sentiment data set for release at 10 a.m. ET. Don't forget that it's also quad witching day, which refers to the simultaneous expiration of market index futures, stock futures, market index options and stock options. "These days tend to get a lot of press for all of the volume they create, but historically they are nearly always a non-event," said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial.
Spending deal to avoid government shutdown
While there may be disagreement over another round of coronavirus relief, lawmakers are aiming to unveil a bipartisan spending bill today to avert a government shutdown on Oct. 1. The "clean" legislation, largely devoid of any controversial measures, should keep the government funded into mid-December. "I don't think anybody wants to be responsible for shutting down the government on the eve of an election in the middle of a pandemic, so it's a rare outbreak of common sense on both sides," said Rep. Tom Cole (R., Okla.), a senior member of the House Appropriations Committee.
New round of farm aid
"Starting next week my administration is committing an additional $13B in relief to help farmers recover from the China virus," President Trump announced a campaign rally in Mosinee, Wisconsin. The new aid is the second tranche of money issued as part of the Trump administration's Coronavirus Food Assistance Program. In April, the administration unveiled $19B in relief for the agriculture sector under the CARES Act, including $16B in direct payments to farmers and ranchers and $3B in mass purchases of dairy, meat and produce.
Fed mulls extension of bank dividend curbs
Due to heightened economic uncertainty, the Federal Reserve is considering extending its caps on banks' dividends and stock repurchases for the rest of the year. The U.S. central bank made the announcement along with its release of hypothetical scenarios for the second round of stress tests that it's requiring due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Unlike an earlier round of stress tests this year, the Fed will release the results of the tests for each of the 33 lenders, rather than providing aggregate results for the group.
Sub-zero rates
The Bank of England held its benchmark policy rate at 0.1% on Thursday, but indicated it could cut interest rates below zero for the first time in its 326-year history. While recent domestic economic data has been a bit stronger than expected, it's "unclear how the economy will perform further out," according to the Monetary Policy Committee. Another major risk facing the U.K. economy relates to the post-Brexit trade discussions between the U.K. and the EU, which have recently soured.
Terms of a TikTok deal
The Trump administration spent Thursday reviewing proposals on the TikTok-Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) partnership, which currently has many moving parts. TikTok owner ByteDance (BDNCE) agreed to list the video-sharing app on a U.S. stock exchange, which could happen within a year, though there are still concerns over whether the Chinese parent would be allowed to retain a majority stake in the new company. Meanwhile, shares in China's Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) tumbled into the U.S. closing bell following reports that its investments are drawing new national security attention.
Exchange dealmaking
Seeing off competing bids from Deutsche Borse (OTCPK:DBORY) and Switzerland's SIX, the London Stock Exchange (OTCPK:LNSTY) is in exclusive talks to sell Borsa Italiana to France's Euronext (OTCPK:EUXTF). Offloading the Milan stock exchange would help LSE achieve regulatory remedies for its $27B purchase of data provider Refinitiv, which is owned by Blackstone (NYSE:BX) and Thomson Reuters (NYSE:TRI). The deal is politically sensitive in Rome because of concerns about who could take control of Borsa Italiana's bond platform, which handles trading of Italy's government debt.
New COVID-19 restrictions across Europe
Targeted lockdowns and local restrictions are returning to Europe as the region tries to avoid broad economic damage amid a surge in coronavirus cases. "Weekly cases have now exceeded those reported when the pandemic first peaked in Europe in March," the WHO's regional director for Europe Hans Kluge told an online news conference. "Although these numbers reflect more comprehensive testing, it also shows alarming rates of transmission across the region." Pubs and restaurants must shut early and household mixing has been limited in northeast England, while social gatherings of more than six people have been banned across the country. French authorities are meanwhile preparing tighter restrictions in several cities, while Spain's Madrid has moved to "reduce mobility and contacts" in areas with high infection rates. Go Deeper: Israel becomes first developed country to enforce a second nationwide shutdown.
Pandemic closures see restaurants hit the hardest
About 60% of businesses that have closed their doors during the coronavirus pandemic will never reopen, and restaurants have suffered the most, according to new data from Yelp. The National Restaurant Association also said this week that 100,000 restaurants have closed either permanently or long term, adding that the sector is on track to lose $240B in sales this year. A number of factors have made it especially difficult for eateries, which tend to operate on thin margins even in the best of times.
What else is happening...
Unity (NYSE:U) to raise $1.3B in IPO, prices 25M shares above range.
New York files civil charges against J&J (NYSE:JNJ) over opioids.
Walmart (NYSE:WMT) hikes pay for about 165,000 hourly employees.
Dave & Buster's (NASDAQ:PLAY) stumbles on bankruptcy speculation.
Proposed Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX safety upgrades endorsed by NTSB.
Nat gas tumbles by most in two years after stockpile gain.
Today's Markets
In Asia, Japan +0.2%. Hong Kong +0.5%. China +2.1%. India -0.3%. In Europe, at midday, London -0.2%. Paris -0.3%. Frankfurt +0.1%. Futures at 6:20, Dow flat. S&P flat. Nasdaq +0.6%. Crude +0.9% to $41.34. Gold +0.6% to $1961.40. Bitcoin +1.6% to $11005. Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 0.68%
submitted by abiech to Winkerpack [link] [comments]

Is anyone else spooked by the stock market recovery? Worried I'm spending too much time in the sidelines thinking it's a bubble...

I'm 25 I learnt a painful lesson in 2018 after investing in crypto at all time highs - not just bitcoin, but altcoins heavily which dropped 99%.
Never looked at stocks until covid-induced crash. I managed to buy some stocks at incredible low prices (Boeing, Carnival, housing stocks, oil companies, Uber etc). I invested 3.5k initially but sold some early and got spooked in mid April and sold everything. I'm only up like £350 quid, but honestly if I held maybe I would be up like 70-100%.
This concerns me as the stock market has all but virtually betted on a V-shaped recovery Last thing I want to do is buy things near all time high and fomo in - never mind buying them in the middle of a global pandemic. I'd rather buy in after the Dow hits 40k and corrects at 35k rather than buy at these prices in uncharted territory.
As someone on average wage £30k, single and living in London (although WFH with parents up north atm) I'm going to find it hard to FIRE without investing. I'm not trying to time the market, I'm trying to invest in a 'normal/stable' time, what's happened in th last few months is unprecedented - although understandable after a crash.
EDIT: I am looking at ETFs and index funds for a more diversified portfolio rather than picking individual stocks like I was in March. I know this is much safer.
submitted by elld to FIREUK [link] [comments]

morning joe

Microsoft is committed to trying to buy TikTok's U.S. operations, after CEO Satya Nadella discussed a potential deal during a phone call on Sunday with President Trump. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) said in a blog post that it will move quickly to pursue discussions with TikTok parent ByteDance (BDNCE), aiming to complete negotiations by Sept. 15. "Microsoft fully appreciates the importance of addressing the President’s concerns," the company said. "It is committed to acquiring TikTok subject to a complete security review and providing proper economic benefits to the United States, including the United States Treasury." The company's aim is to build on TikTok's popular user experience with adding privacy and security protections. The proposed transaction has gained the blessing of top Trump administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, as well as several Republican lawmakers, after the president's Friday night comments that he preferred a TikTok ban in the U.S. instead of a sale took all sides by surprise.
All eyes on U.S. payroll data
The U.S. July employment report, to be released this Friday, will have a binary flavor to it. If the jobs situation is consistent with economists' views, it should give investors more confidence in the economy's health while weak data will weigh on investors' near-term enthusiasm. Current consensus is a rise of 1.65M jobs, albeit a bearish drop of ~27% from last Thursday's projection of 2.25M. Congress is trying to cobble together another stimulus package but, unsurprisingly, Republicans and Democrats are at loggerheads over the specifics.
MLB draws strong TV ratings in opening week
Despite concerns over a truncated 60-game season and empty seats in stadiums, Major League Baseball's opening week has been a resounding success. Games aired nationally during opening weekend (July 23-26) drew more than twice as many viewers as a year ago. Walt Disney's (NYSE:DIS) ESPN said that its first 12 broadcasted games averaged ~1.2M viewers, up 34% compared to last year. Fox Sports (NASDAQ:FOX) also enjoyed a double-digit rise in ratings. According to Michael Mulvihill, Fox Sports head of strategy and analytics, the strong start reflects pent-up demand and little competition from other major U.S. sports. The season, though, is facing its first stern test after 18 members of the Miami Marlins tested positive for COVID-19 leading to the cancellations of certain games by several clubs. 17 games have been postponed to date.
Fed to "relax" approach to managing inflation target
The Fed is preparing to abandon its long-held practice of raising interest rates to preempt overheating in the economy, citing persistently low U.S. inflation. Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at the shift in a news conference last week when he disclosed that the central bank would soon complete a comprehensive review of its policy-making strategy. The change is unlikely to alter much since interest rates are barely above zero and are expected to remain low for the foreseeable future. Longer term, central bankers, economists and investors expect rates to return to a more normal 4% or so once the economic recovery/expansion has matured.
Trump readies action against Chinese software firms
During an interview yesterday on Fox News' Sunday Morning Futures, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that President Trump will announce new action this week against Chinese software companies that he perceives are threats to national security, including TikTok and WeChat that, he says, are "feeding data directly to the Chinese Communist Party." In a separate interview, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin declared that "we are not keeping TikTok in its current form." The expected actions will be the latest salvo in the deterioration in U.S./Sino relations.
Apple sued in China over voice assistant patent
Shanghai Zhizhen Network Technology Company, known as Xiao-i, has filed a lawsuit in a Shanghai court against Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) claiming infringement on a patent covering a voice assistant similar to Siri. The company seeks 10B yuan ($1.43B) in damages and, if successful, could prevent the tech giant from selling many of its products in China. In late June, China's Supreme Court ruled that Xiao-i owns the patent which ended a process that involved several trials since 2012. It is the third time in less than a decade that Apple has faced trademark and patent challenges in its #2 market (behind the U.S.). The company has yet to comment on the matter.
U.S. COVID-19 pandemic in new "widespread" phase
According to White House coronavirus task force coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx, the pandemic is in a "new phase" that is different from the March/April period with "extraordinarily widespread" cases in both urban and rural areas. Reemphasizing the essential role of wearing masks and distancing, Dr. Birx said, "To everybody who lives in a rural area, you are not immune or protected from this virus and that is why we keep saying, no matter where you live in America, you need to wear a mask and socially distance, do the personal hygiene pieces." She also says super-spreading events are the main concern, not super-spreading individuals. Per Johns Hopkins case tracker, U.S. infections are now over 4.6M with over 154K deaths.
GOP and Dems tussle over fourth round of U.S. stimulus
Talks between Republican and Democratic leaders over the specifics of the latest round, the fourth, of economic stimulus are proceeding down the familiar contentious path. Both sides agree on sending $1,200 checks to most Americans but the GOP is apparently balking at a boost to unemployment insurance which was set at $600 per week but recently lapsed. Democrats want to preserve the $600 amount while Republicans want to cut it to $200 due to cost concerns. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is accusing President Trump of standing in the way of a deal. On Face the Nation yesterday, Chief of Staff Mark Meadows said, "I'm not optimistic that there will be a solution in the very near term."
7-Eleven to acquire Speedway for $21B in cash
Seven & i Holdings (OTCPK:SVNDF) indirect subsidiary 7-Eleven has agreed to acquire Speedway from certain subsidiaries of Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) for $21B in cash. The Enon, Ohio-based chain operates ~3900 convenience stores in 36 U.S. states. The transaction, which includes a 15-year fuel supply agreement for about 7.7B gallons per year, should close in Q1 2021.
China's Caixin manufacturing PMI hits nine-plus year high
The Caixin China manufacturing purchasing managers index hit its highest point since 2011, lending more credence to inklings of a recovery there. China's official PMI rose to its own four-month high last week, and it's got a bigger sample, focused on larger state-owned companies. Caixin focuses on smaller manufacturers, and it hit 52.8, the third straight month it was over 50, signaling expansion.
Rio Tinto sues Australia's Monadelphous over 2019 fire
Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) has sued Monadelphous Engineering Associates (OTCPK:MOPHY) over a fire at Rio's Western Australia iron ore processing facility last year. Monadelphous says Rio is claiming MEA breached terms of a contract, and that Rio is seeking A$493M (about $351M) tied to its inability to process iron ore at the plant during repairs.
What else is happening...
Siemens Healthineers (OTC:SEMHF) merges with Varian Medical Systems (NYSE:VAR) in $16B deal.
SpaceX (SPACE) and NASA splashdown breaks 45-year drought.
Blackstone (NYSE:BX), TPG rejigger REIT debt to sidestep margin calls.
Iran stock market hits record high despite sanctions and battered economy.
Today's Markets In Asia, Japan +2.24%. Hong Kong -0.56%. China +1.75%. India -1.64%. In Europe, at midday, London +0.56%. Paris +0.97%. Frankfurt +1.86%. Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.05%. S&P +0.10%. Nasdaq +0.52%. Crude -1.32% to $39.74. Gold +0.02% to $1,986.30. Bitcoin -0.75% to $11,164. Ten-year Treasury Yield +1.3bps to 0.549%
Today's Economic Calendar 9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index 10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index
submitted by upbstock to Optionmillionaires [link] [comments]

CEOs are out...

Here are some stats to consider:
More than 1200 CEOs left their positions in 2019 which was a record year for exits.
In January 2020, 219 CEOs left their positions (which is also a record).
Lots of investors are panicking, and it has been a bloodbath with the DOW experiencing it's worst day since Black Monday.
Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive and billionaire who's fund Social Capital has delivered fantastic returns, has indicated that he believes the downside target is around that of the 2008 financial crisis (~50%).
This is now the fastest bear market after an all time high in history.
Looking at historical drawdowns and how many days it takes to reach the bottom of a bear market, it seems that the downside will continue.
This virus is serious stuff, and it is important to have cash and liquidity at this time.
One of the traditional hedging assets, gold, also plunged (apparently because hedge funds needed to cover margin calls).
DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
In the very short term, Cash is King.
In the short to medium term, I would expect gold and silver to do pretty well in the 1-3 year time frame.
In terms of a general approach for stocks, Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market is generally the way to go - the question is "how long could we go?"
Well, Chamath thinks a correction of the same level as '08 is possible - indicating that the S&P 500 could hit 1500-2000.
On a more qualitative basis, when Warren Buffett starts announcing deals is also not a bad time to start buying back in!
In the longer time frame (5-10 years), another asset that has had a terrible time recently is Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is essentially a hedge against excessive fiat printing.
The response to this situation is likely to involve a LOT of fiat printing.
Therefore, perhaps it will prove undervalued in the long term (particularly as Central Bank Digital Currencies come into play).
Only time will tell...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mGuzqC9bI4
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Thoughts On The Market Series #1 - The New Normal?

Market Outlook: What to Make of This “New Normal”

By ****\*
March 16, 2020
After an incredibly volatile week – which finished with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallying over 9% on Friday – I suppose my readers might expect me to be quite upbeat about the markets.
Unfortunately, I persist in my overall pessimistic outlook for stocks, and for the economy in general. Friday’s rally essentially negated Thursday’s sell-off, but I don’t expect it to be the start of a sustained turnaround.
We’re getting a taste of that this morning, with the Dow opening down around 7%.
This selloff is coming on the back of an emergency interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve of 100 basis points (to 0%-0.25%) on Sunday… along with the announcement of a new quantitative easing program of $700 billion. (I will write about this further over the next several days.)
As I have been writing for many weeks, the financial bubble – which the Fed created by pumping trillions of dollars into the financial system – has popped. It will take some time for the bubble to deflate to sustainable levels.
Today I’ll walk you through what’s going on in the markets and the economy… what I expect going forward and why… and what it means for us as traders. (You’ll see it’s not all bad news.)

Coronavirus’ Strain on the Global Economy

To start, let’s put things in perspective: This asset deflation was coming one way or another. Covid19 (or coronavirus) has simply accelerated the process.
Major retailers are closing, tourism is getting crushed, universities and schools are sending students home, conventions, sporting events, concerts, and other public gatherings have been cancelled, banks and other financial service firms are going largely virtual, and there has been a massive loss of wealth.
Restaurant data suggests that consumer demand is dropping sharply, and the global travel bans will only worsen the situation.
Commercial real estate is another sector that looks particularly vulnerable. We are almost certain to see a very sharp and pronounced economic slowdown here in the United States, and elsewhere. In fact, I expect a drop of at least 5% of GDP over the next two quarters, which is quite severe by any standard.
Sure, when this cycle is complete, there will be tremendous amounts of pent-up demand by consumers, but for the time being, the consumer is largely on the sidelines.
Of course, the problems aren’t just in the U.S. China’s numbers look awful. In fact, the government there may have to “massage” their numbers a bit to show a positive GDP in the first quarter. Europe’s numbers will also look dreadful, and South Korea’s economy has been hit badly.
All around the world, borders are being shut, all non-essential businesses are being closed, and people in multiple countries are facing a lockdown of historic proportions. The coronavirus is certainly having a powerful impact, and it looks certain that its impact will persist for a while.
Consider global tourism. It added almost $9 trillion to the global economy in 2018, and roughly 320 million jobs. This market is in serious trouble.
Fracking in the U.S. is another business sector that is in a desperate situation. Millions of jobs and tens of billions of loans are now in jeopardy.
The derivative businesses that this sector supports will be likewise devastated as companies are forced to reduce their workforces or shut down due to the collapse in oil prices. This sector’s suffering will probably force banks to book some big losses despite attempts by the government to support this industry.
In a similar way, the derivative businesses that are supported by the universities and colleges across America are going to really suffer.
There are nearly 20 million students in colleges across the U.S. When they go home for spring vacation and do not return, the effect on the local businesses that colleges and university populations support will be devastating.
What does this “new normal” mean going forward? Let’s take a look…

New Normal

The new normal may become increasingly unpleasant for us. We need to be ready to hunker down for quite some time.
Beyond that, the government needs to handle this crisis far better in the future.
The level of stupidity associated with the massive throngs of people trapped in major airports yesterday, for example, was almost unimaginable.
Instead of facilitating the reduction of social contact and halting the further spread of the coronavirus, the management of the crowds at the airports produced a perfect breeding ground for the spread of the virus.
My guess is that more draconian travel restrictions will be implemented soon, matching to some extent the measures taken across Europe.
This will in turn have a further dampening effect on economic activity in the U.S., putting more and more pressure on the Fed and the government to artificially support a rapidly weakening economy.
Where does this end up? It is too early to say, but a very safe bet is that we will have some months of sharply negative growth. Too many sectors of the economy are going to take a hit to expect anything else.
The Fed has already driven interest rates to zero. Will that help? Unlikely. In fact, as I mentioned at the beginning of this update, the markets are voting with a resounding NO.
The businesses that are most affected by the current economic situation will still suffer. Quantitative easing is hardly a cure-all. In fact, it has been one of the reasons that we have such a mess in our markets today.
The markets have become addicted to the easy money, so more of the same will have little or no impact. We will need real economic demand, not an easier monetary policy.
It won’t help support tourism, for example, or the other sectors getting smashed right now. The government will need to spend at least 5% of GDP, or roughly $1 trillion, to offset the weakness I see coming.
Is it surprising that the Fed and the government take emergency steps to try to stabilize economic growth? Not at all. This is essentially what they have been doing for a long time, so it is completely consistent with their playbook.
Next, I would anticipate the government implementing some massive public-works and infrastructure programs over the coming months. That would be very helpful, and almost certainly quite necessary.
But there’s a problem with this kind of intervention from the government…

What Happens When You Eliminate the Business Cycle

The Fed’s foolish attempt to eliminate business cycles is a significant contributing factor to the volatility we are currently experiencing.
Quantitative easing is nothing more than printing lots and lots of money to support a weak economy and give the appearance of growth and prosperity. In fact, it is a devaluation of the currency’s true buying power.
That in turn artificially drives up the prices of other assets, such as stocks, real estate and gold – but it does not create true wealth. That only comes with non-inflationary growth of goods and services and associated increases in economic output.
Inflation is the government’s way to keep people thinking they are doing better.
To that point: We have seen some traditional safe-haven assets getting destroyed during this time of risk aversion. That has certainly compounded the problems of many investors.
Gold is a great example. As the stock market got violently slammed, people were forced to come up with cash to support their losing positions. Gold became a short-term source of liquidity as people sold their gold holdings in somewhat dramatic fashion. It was one of the few holdings of many people that was not dramatically under water, so people sold it.
The move may have seemed perverse, particularly to people who bought gold as a safe-haven asset, but in times of crisis, all assets tend to become highly correlated, at least short term.
We saw a similar thing happen with long yen exposures and long Bitcoin exposures recently.
The dollar had its strongest one-day rally against the yen since November 2016 as people were forced to sell huge amounts of yen to generate liquidity. Many speculators had made some nice profits recently as the dollar dropped sharply from 112 to 101.30, but they have been forced to book whatever profits they had in this position. Again, this was due to massive losses elsewhere in their portfolios.
Is the yen’s sell-off complete? If it is not complete, it is probably at least close to an attractive level for Japanese investors to start buying yen against a basket of currencies. The major supplies of yen have largely been taken off the table for now.
For example, the yen had been a popular funding currency for “carry” plays. People were selling yen and buying higher-yielding currencies to earn the interest rate difference between the liability currency (yen) and the funding currency (for example, the U.S. dollar).
Carry plays are very unpopular in times of great uncertainty and volatility, however, so that supply of yen will be largely gone for quite some time. Plus, the yield advantage of currencies such as the U.S. dollar, Canadian dollar, and Australian dollar versus the yen is nearly gone.
In addition, at the end of the Japanese fiscal year , there is usually heavy demand for yen as Japanese corporations need to bring home a portion of their overseas holdings for balance sheet window dressing. I don’t expect that pressure to be different this year.
Just as the safe-haven assets of yen and gold got aggressively sold, Bitcoin also got hammered. It was driven by a similar theme – people had big losses and they needed to produce liquidity quickly. Selling Bitcoin became one of the sources of that liquidity.

Heavy Price Deflation Ahead

Overall, there is a chance that this scenario turns into something truly ugly, with sustained price deflation across many parts of the economy. We will certainly have price deflation in many sectors, at least on a temporary basis.
Why does that matter over the long term?
Price deflation is the most debilitating economic development in a society that is debt-laden – like the U.S. today. Prices of assets come down… and the debt becomes progressively bigger and bigger.
The balance sheet of oil company Chesapeake Energy is a classic example. It’s carrying almost $10 billion worth of debt… versus a market cap of only about $600 million. Talk about leverage! When the company had a market cap of $10 billion, that debt level didn’t appear so terrifying.
Although this is an extreme example for illustrative purposes, the massive debt loads of China would seem more and more frightening if we were to sink into flat or negative growth cycles for a while. The government’s resources are already being strained, and it can artificially support only so many failing companies.
The U.S. has gigantic levels of debt as well, but it has the advantage of being the world’s true hegemon, and the U.S. dollar is the world’s reserve currency. This creates a tremendous amount of leverage and power in financing its debt.
The U.S. has been able to impose its will on its trading partners to trade major commodities in dollars. This has created a constant demand for the dollar that offsets, to a large extent, the massive trade deficit that the U.S. runs.
For example, if a German company wants to buy oil, then it needs to hold dollars. This creates a constant demand for dollar assets.
In short, the dollar’s status as the true global reserve currency is far more important than most people realize. China does not hold this advantage.

What to Do Now

In terms of how to position ourselves going forward, I strongly recommend that people continue with a defensive attitude regarding stocks. There could be a lot more downside to come. Likewise, we could see some panic selling in other asset classes.
The best thing right now is to be liquid and patient, ready to pounce on special opportunities when they present themselves.
For sure, there will be some exceptional opportunities, but it is too early to commit ourselves to just one industry. These opportunities could come in diverse sectors such as commercial real estate, hospitality, travel and leisure, and others.
As for the forex markets, the volatility in the currencies is extreme, so we are a bit cautious.
I still like the yen as a safe-haven asset. I likewise still want to sell the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, and the Canadian dollar as liability currencies.
Why? The Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand have all taken aggressive steps recently, slashing interest rates. These currencies are all weak, and they will get weaker.
Finding an ideal entry for a trade, however, is tricky. Therefore, we are being extra careful with our trading. We always prioritize the preservation of capital over generating profits, and we will continue with this premise.
At the same time, volatility in the markets is fantastic for traders. We expect many excellent opportunities to present themselves over the coming days and weeks as prices get driven to extreme levels and mispricings appear. So stay tuned.
submitted by ParallaxFX to Forex [link] [comments]

LOEx Market Research Report on July 14: US stocks fell sharply, causing BTC to fall slightly

LOEx Market Research Report on July 14: US stocks fell sharply, causing BTC to fall slightly
[Today's Hot Tips]
1. [Polkadot DOT Split Voting Statistics: The proportion of voting that agrees to DOT splitting 100 times is the highest]
On July 13, Gavin Wood released the latest article saying that Polkadot's first on-chain governance vote is about to start, deciding whether to split the DOT. According to Polkadot official data from Polkadot, the four options for deciding whether to split the DOT are currently: First, the vote that agreed to DOT split 100 times was the highest, with a specific number of votes of 270,759.042 DOT; followed by DOT split 10 times (219,389.015 DOT); followed by DOT split 1000 times (146,210.733 DOT), and finally the proportion agreed that DOT would not split to maintain the total of 10 million votes is lowest, only 39,502.205 DOT.
2. [Zcash is expected to usher in Heartwood network upgrade at 18:35 on July 16]
According to official data released by Electric Coin Company (ECC), Zcash development company, Zcash is expected to usher in Heartwood network upgrade at 18:35 on July 16 after 2 days.
3. [The Korean Parliament discusses the new tax law, perhaps levying a capital gains tax of up to 20% on cryptocurrencies]
According to Cointelegraph on July 13, South Korea's Congress recently discussed a tax bill related to encryption, which aims to impose capital gains tax on cryptocurrencies. During the discussion, the representative of the Democratic Party, Yang Kyung-sook, submitted an amendment to the Income Tax Law and imposed a 20% capital gains tax on the income generated from the transfer of virtual assets.
[Today's market analysis]
Bitcoin (BTC)BTC first slightly fluctuated upwards in the early morning. It quickly fell at 2 am and fell below 9300 USDT for a short time, with a minimum of 9201.7 USDT. Subsequently, BTC rebounded slightly to around 9250 USDT. Currently, BTC continues to fluctuate around 9250 USDT. Mainstream currencies basically follow the market trend, rebounding slightly after a rapid decline in the early morning. BTC is currently reported at 9226.7 USDT on LOEx, a decrease of 0.73% in 24h.
https://preview.redd.it/u8dt2f7ukra51.png?width=554&format=png&auto=webp&s=6c867cbf71d2f77765aa67e9a69184d3339fb2b5
US stocks fell sharply, and the Dow took more than 500 points. The Nasdaq fell more than 2% and the five major technology stocks closed down after making new highs.
S&P once flattened all the declines this year. The Nasdaq recorded the biggest decline in two weeks, and it rose nearly 2% in early trading to hit a new intraday high. Six FAANMG technology stocks, such as Apple and Amazon, which rose more than 4% in the session, closed down collectively. The 16% gain of Tesla in the flattening market fell 3%.
As you can see, the currency market is still not out of the trap of US stocks. It's strange. Why didn't the currency market keep up with the big A stocks? The big A stocks have been advancing in recent days. If the currency circle can keep up, how good is it? To keep up with U.S. stocks, the United States has not even passed the first wave of the epidemic. How is it good?
Just glanced at the pie market, to be honest, our pie is still very strong, just like the US stocks play, the pie has not fallen too much, it is still strong on the 9000. This shows that Bitcoin is now much more stable than US stocks. Next, if the US stocks fell sharply, the currency market fell slightly, and if the US stocks fell slightly, Bitcoin could maintain around 9000 points.
Operation suggestions:Support level: the first support level is 9200 points, the second support level is 9000 integers;
Resistance level: the first resistance level is 9400 points, the second resistance level is 9500 points.
LOEx is registered in Seychelles. It is a global one-stop digital asset service platform with business distribution nodes in 20 regions around the world. It has been exempted from Seychelles and Singapore Monetary Authority (MAS) digital currency trading services. Provide services and secure encrypted digital currency trading environment for 2 million community members in 24 hours.
submitted by LOEXCHANGE to u/LOEXCHANGE [link] [comments]

CEOs are out...

Here are some stats to consider:
More than 1200 CEOs left their positions in 2019 which was a record year for exits.
In January 2020, 219 CEOs left their positions (which is also a record).
Lots of investors are panicking, and it has been a bloodbath with the DOW experiencing it's worst day since Black Monday.
Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive and billionaire who's fund Social Capital has delivered fantastic returns, has indicated that he believes the downside target is around that of the 2008 financial crisis (~50%).
This is now the fastest bear market after an all time high in history.
Looking at historical drawdowns and how many days it takes to reach the bottom of a bear market, it seems that the downside will continue.
This virus is serious stuff, and it is important to have cash and liquidity at this time.
One of the traditional hedging assets, gold, also plunged (apparently because hedge funds needed to cover margin calls).
DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
In the very short term, Cash is King.
In the short to medium term, I would expect gold and silver to do pretty well in the 1-3 year time frame.
In terms of a general approach for stocks, Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market is generally the way to go - the question is "how long could we go?"
Well, Chamath thinks a correction of the same level as '08 is possible - indicating that the S&P 500 could hit 1500-2000.
On a more qualitative basis, when Warren Buffett starts announcing deals is also not a bad time to start buying back in!
In the longer time frame (5-10 years), another asset that has had a terrible time recently is Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is essentially a hedge against excessive fiat printing.
The response to this situation is likely to involve a LOT of fiat printing.
Therefore, perhaps it will prove undervalued in the long term (particularly as Central Bank Digital Currencies come into play).
Only time will tell...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mGuzqC9bI4
submitted by financeoptimum to StockMarket [link] [comments]

Today's Pre-Market News [Wednesday, February 12th, 2020]

Good morning traders and investors of the wallstreetbets sub! Welcome to Wednesday. Here is your pre-market news this AM-

Today's Top Headlines for Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)

YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

([CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!](https://i.imgur.com/ifUy0wj.png)
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

  • SHOP
  • TEVA
  • CVS
  • LYFT
  • ROKU
  • BBBY
  • MRNA
  • CYBR

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
CVS Health (CVS) – The drug store operator beat estimates by 5 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $1.73 per share. Revenue also beat forecasts and CVS gave a full-year EPS outlook of $7.04 to $7.17, compared to a consensus estimate of $7.15 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CVS

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Molson Coors (TAP) – The beer brewer earned $1.02 per share for the fourth quarter, well above the 78 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat Wall Street projections, despite what Molson Coors calls “significant headwinds and continued volume declines.”

STOCK SYMBOL: TAP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) – The world’s largest generic drugmaker beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 62 cents per share. Revenue also topped expectations.

STOCK SYMBOL: TEVA

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Moody’s (MCO) – The credit-rating agency earned $2.00 per share for the fourth quarter, 7 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts. The company’s full-year outlook for 2020 is also largely above consensus. Moody’s said it is benefiting from increased global bond issuance, as well as increasing demand for research from its Moody’s Analytics unit.

STOCK SYMBOL: MCO

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Shopify (SHOP) – The e-commerce platform company earned an adjusted 43 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 24 cents a share. Revenue also beat forecasts on strong Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales on Shopify’s platform.

STOCK SYMBOL: SHOP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
CyberArk Software (CYBR) – The cybersecurity company beat estimates by 16 cents A share, with quarterly earnings of 97 cents per share. Revenue also came in above consensus. CyberArk said, however, that its full-year adjusted EPS outlook is $2.26-$2.38, below the consensus estimate of $2.79 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CYBR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Lyft (LYFT) – Lyft lost $1.19 per share for the fourth quarter, 20 cents a share less than Wall Street had been expecting. The ride-hailing service’s revenue beat consensus estimates. Lyft also said it is still on track to achieve a key measure of profitability by the end of 2021.

STOCK SYMBOL: LYFT

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – The housewares retailer said same-store sales were down a greater-than-expected 5.4% in December and January, amid increased promotional pricing, lower store traffic, and issues with inventory management.

STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) – Akamai reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. Akamai’s ’s revenue also beat Street forecasts. Results were driven by strong growth in its cloud security unit, as well as upbeat results for its flagship content delivery platform business.

STOCK SYMBOL: AKAM

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will be in court today, seeking to overturn one of three record European Union antitrust fines. Google had been fined $2.6 billion for allegedly favoring its own price comparison shopping service over those of smaller European competitors.

STOCK SYMBOL: GOOGL

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
NCR (NCR) – NCR beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 85 cents per share. The payment processing software and services provider’s revenue was also above Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NCR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Western Union (WU) – Western Union reported quarterly earnings of 38 cents per share, 5 cents a share below estimates. The payment processing company’s revenue also beat forecasts, and Western Union gave an upbeat outlook for 2020. The company announced a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend as well.

STOCK SYMBOL: WU

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Macerich (MAC) – Macerich was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which thinks Simon Property’s (SPG) acquisition of Taubman Centers (TCO) makes an acquisition of the shopping center operator less likely.

STOCK SYMBOL: MAC

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

DISCUSS!

What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at wallstreetbets?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 12th, 2020! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

End of day summary - 03/06

The Dow fell 256.50, or 0.98%, to 25,864.78 , the Nasdaq lost 162.98, or 1.87%, to 8,575.62 , and the S&P 500 declined 51.57, or 1.71%, to 2,972.37.

The stock market ended a volatile week on a lower note with the S&P 500 (-1.7%) settling just above its low from Monday. The benchmark index gained 0.6% for the week while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-1.0%) outperformed, gaining 1.8% since last Friday.
In the U.S., nonfarm payrolls surged 273,000 in February and the unemployment rate fell back to 3.5%, which matches a five-decade low. Average hourly earnings grew 3.0% year-over-year. While a very strong report, it appears to be discounted because of the coronavirus, though it provides evidence that the U.S. economy was on solid footing before it hit. The trade deficit narrowed 6.7% to $45.3B in January as exports dipped 0.4% to $208.6B and imports dropped 1.6% to $253.9B. Wholesale inventories fell 0.4% in January, but sales jumped 1.6%.
In energy news, Reuters reported that OPEC's plans for prolonged oil cuts have been derailed as Russia refused to support the move contending it is too early to predict the effect of coronavirus on global energy demand. WTI crude for April delivery fell $4.62, or 10.1%, to end at $41.28 a barrel following the news of the OPEC blow-up. Also, Baker Hughes reported that the U.S. rig count is up 3 rigs from last week to 793.
The final session of the week was marred by a continued deterioration of sentiment due to the ongoing spread of the coronavirus while the pressure on growth expectations intensified. Treasuries essentially never stopped after Thursday's cash close, continuing their forceful charge in the overnight futures market. Treasuries did pull back from their highs in midday trade, but the long bond rallied to a fresh record high in the afternoon while the 10-yr note stopped a bit short of its best level of the day. The 10-yr yield fell 22 basis points to 0.71%, representing a 42-basis point drop for the week.
Expectations for another sharp rate cut remain in place with the fed funds futures market pointing to a 56.0% implied likelihood of a 75-basis point rate cut at or before the conclusion of the FOMC meeting on March 18.
The S&P 500 staged a 70-point rally during the final hour of trade, which led to a significant improvement in final sector standings, though all eleven sectors finished in the red.
Four groups surrendered 2.0% or more. Energy (-5.6%) and financials (-3.3%) were particularly weak throughout the day due to their exposure to growth and concerns about issuers of high-yield debt in the energy sector.
Bank stocks suffered from the drop in Treasury yields while energy companies struggled as oil fell $4.57, or 10.0%, to $41.32/bbl. The energy component ended the day at its lowest level since mid-2016 after OPEC+ could not agree to a sharp production cut despite yesterday's reports to the contrary. Russia's Energy Minister, Alexander Novak, said that OPEC+ countries are free to pump at will starting from April 1.
Shares of JPM were sharply lower amid the pullback in the market, though the bank's declines may also be made worse by news that CEO Jamie Dimon experienced an acute aortic dissection and underwent successful emergency heart surgery to repair the health issue. Co-Presidents and Chief Operating Officers Daniel Pinto and Gordon Smith will lead the company as Dimon recovers, the bank confirmed.
Shares of AAPL were lower after a fourth supplier cut guidance amid the ongoing coronavirus outbreak. ON cut its first quarter revenue outlook this morning, becoming the fourth Apple supplier to cut guidance this week after QRVO, SWKS and MCHP did so as well.
In company-specific news, COST reported better than expected Q2 results, but the stock still finished lower. AMD fared better than the broader market after reaffirming its guidance for FY20. The chipmaker did caution that Q1 results are likely to be on the low end of its guidance.
Among the noteworthy gainers were MRNA and OPK, which have each recently reported on efforts linked to combating the coronavirus. Airline stocks like ALK +4.0%, JBLU +0.1%), UAL, +1.0%, and DAL, +2.0% recorded gains on Friday after recovering from fresh multi-year lows. Alaska Air did warn that its guidance for FY20 should no longer be relied upon due to coronavirus-related uncertainty.
Among the notable losers was AOBC, which fell 30% after the gunmaker reported fiscal Q3 results below consensus and guidance. SBUX shares slid 1% after the company provided an update on the impact related to COVID-19 in China. Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull said the earnings impact to Starbucks' fiscal Q2 is likely larger than he projected, be he also pointed out that Starbucks noted there has been no perceptible impact from COVID-19 on the U.S. business.
Shares of cruise operators started the day in positive territory but retreated as the day went on. NCLH, -5.2% was the weakest performer of the bunch, stopping just above its record low (24.16) that was notched when the company went public in early 2013.
European stocks also fell sharply Friday as the coronavirus outbreak continues to impact businesses worldwide.

Currency

The U.S. Dollar Index dropped 0.9% to 95.98 and was down 2.2% for the week as rate-cut expectations boiled over. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 100% probability of another 50 basis points cut at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting and a 63% probability of a 75 basis points cut.

Treasury

U.S. Treasuries had another huge day as the stock market racked up another day of huge losses amid ongoing concerns about the spread of the coronavirus and budding credit worries. The 10-yr yield, which settled Thursday at 0.93%, went as low as 0.66% in today's curve-flattening trade before losing some steam.

Commodity

Oil prices plunged more than 8% to multi-year lows on Friday as OPEC’s allies rejected additional production cuts that the organization proposed Thursday. The meeting between OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+, concluded with no deal on additional production cuts.
Agriculture:

Crypto

As global equity markets continue to get pummeled, bitcoin’s return to the $9,000 level may have been driven by some of the same forces causing a rally in bonds – a desire for respite from a coronavirus-plagued markets.

Bonds, Virus and Valuation

The move in Treasuries has been precipitated by flight-safety flows that have been fueled by economic growth concerns stemming from the spread of the coronavirus. It has also been stoked by momentum, interest rate differentials, and policy stimulus expectations, the latter of which have also been nothing short of stunning.
The CME FedWatch Tool is showing a 100% probability of another 50 basis points cut at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting and a 64% probability of a 75 basis points cut.
Those expectations capture the view that the coronavirus isn't "just another flu." It might have similar characteristics, but when was the last time entire cities were quarantined, professional sporting events were canceled, travel restrictions were imposed, orchestrated efforts to force employees to work from home, states of emergency were declared, U.S. schools were closed, and the Federal Reserve ushered in an emergency 50 basis points rate cut because of the flu?
Coronavirus is quite different from the flu because the reaction to it has been universally different -- and that reaction is what gets lost in the debate as to whether the coronavirus is "just another flu." Rightly or wrongly, the coronavirus is creating an economic disruption in a manner no normal flu has in our modern age and that is the important distinction for the capital markets and policymakers.
It's another reason why the strong employment report for February has been glossed over for the most part by the market. At any other time, the Treasury market would be selling off on today's report, and, arguably, the futures market would be moving sharply higher -- but this isn't any other time.
The key takeaway from the report isn't what was in the report, it was the lackluster response to it, which is a function of expecting employment reports in coming months not to look as good because of the coronavirus impact.
The market multiple has contracted to 16.7x, which is now in-line with the five-year average -- only it isn't because earnings estimates are going to fall further.

YTD

  • FAAMG + some penny stocks -4.4% YTD
  • Spoos -8.0% YTD
  • Old man -9.4% YTD
  • Russy -13.1% YTD
Summary scraped from the interweb. Took 0.18 seconds.
submitted by hibernating_brain to thewallstreet [link] [comments]

CEOs are out...

Here are some stats to consider:
More than 1200 CEOs left their positions in 2019 which was a record year for exits.
In January 2020, 219 CEOs left their positions (which is also a record).
Lots of investors are panicking, and it has been a bloodbath with the DOW experiencing it's worst day since Black Monday.
Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive and billionaire who's fund Social Capital has delivered fantastic returns, has indicated that he believes the downside target is around that of the 2008 financial crisis (~50%).
This is now the fastest bear market after an all time high in history.
Looking at historical drawdowns and how many days it takes to reach the bottom of a bear market, it seems that the downside will continue.
This virus is serious stuff, and it is important to have cash and liquidity at this time.
One of the traditional hedging assets, gold, also plunged (apparently because hedge funds needed to cover margin calls).
DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
In the very short term, Cash is King.
In the short to medium term, I would expect gold and silver to do pretty well in the 1-3 year time frame.
In terms of a general approach for stocks, Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market is generally the way to go - the question is "how long could we go?"
Well, Chamath thinks a correction of the same level as '08 is possible - indicating that the S&P 500 could hit 1500-2000.
On a more qualitative basis, when Warren Buffett starts announcing deals is also not a bad time to start buying back in!
In the longer time frame (5-10 years), another asset that has had a terrible time recently is Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is essentially a hedge against excessive fiat printing.
The response to this situation is likely to involve a LOT of fiat printing.
Therefore, perhaps it will prove undervalued in the long term (particularly as Central Bank Digital Currencies come into play).
Only time will tell...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mGuzqC9bI4
submitted by financeoptimum to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

For Trading May 7th

For Trading MAY 7th
Split Market -NAZ Up, DOW Down
Earnings Galore
Today’s market was a split affair from right after the open. While the NASDAQ was higher, the DJIA and S&P 500 were sloppy at best. While the NASDAQ has regained its entire loss for 2020 (not the highs, but since 1/2/2020), the DJIA is still -5054 or 17.5% and the S&P 500 is -392 or 12%. At the highs today the DJIA was +171 and finished on the lows -218.45 (.91%), NASDAQ +45.27 (.51%), S&P 500 -20.02 (.70%), the Russell -10.50 (.82%) and the DJ Transports -115.47 (1.43%). Market internals were weak with NYSE 2:1 down and NASDAQ 1.5:1 down. Volume was also light. On the DJIA we were decidedly down with 23 lower, 6 higher and PFE unchanged. The gainers were AAPL +21 and MSFT +12 DPs while on the downside we had UNH -29 and BA & TRV -24 DPs. Sectors on the upside included Info tech and consumer discretionary while Financial, Utilities and Energy the weak groups.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/RQTFwMS1vZk
SECTORS: Earnings played a part in today’s market again. PTON was higher by 1.81 before the numbers and after the beat the stock traded as high as $42.40 and settled $41.76 + 3.73. WYNN missed top and bottom lines with the slower than expected attendance in Macau and the stock, already down from a recovery high of $152 to close the day $79.25 -.42 fell to $76.50 before a $77.40 close -1.85. ETSY was also a disappointment after closing at a new all-time high at $78.24 +5.45 (7.49%) and after hitting $84.01 fell back to $69.11 and finished $74.05 – 4.19.
But the award for the day goes to the analysts who both downgraded Macro-Genics (MGNX) and lowered their price objectives to $13 from $17 (Credit Suisse) and $15 from $16 at SVB Leerink, only to have the stock report and then be halted for volatility several times on its way from last nights close of $7.60 to $27.34 and closed $25.15 +17.55 (230.92%)…GOOD CALL…Got your resume up to date??
FOOD SUPPLY: was MIXED with TSN -2.29, BGS +1.68 (8.6%), FLO -.62, CAG +.38, MDLZ -.18, KHC +.33, CALM +.12, JJSF -6.05, SAFM +.89, and LANC -.83.
BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB +2.34, ABBV -.05, REGN -19.37, ISRG -.86, GILD -1.89, MYL +.29, TEVA +.51, VRTX -2.27, BHC +.54, INCY -2.74, ICPT +8.65 (10.77%), LABU +.46 and IBB $127.00 +.02 (.02%).
CANNABIS: This group was LOWER with TLRY -.05, CGC -.41, CRON -.18, GWPH +2.48, ACB -.01, PYX +.16, NBEV +.02, CURLF -.09, KERN -.10 and MJ $11.50 -.35 (2.95%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -11.85, GD -4.40, TXT -.30, NOC -5.71, BWXT +1.53, RTX -1.35, and ITA $144.00 -3.45 (2.34%).
RETAIL was LOWER with M -.18, JWN -.14, KSS -.52, DDS -.20, JCP -.023, WMT -1.77, TGT +1.73, TJX -.49, RL -1.19, UAA -.13, LULU +4.80, TPR -.70, CPRI -.45 and XRT $36.31 +.10 (.28%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL -3.59, AMZN +27.30, AAPL +2.44, FB +.94, NFLX +11.04, NVDA +3.26, TSLA +11.39, BABA +.38, BIDU +.75, CMG -4.23, CAT -1.45, BA -3.70, DIS -.25 and XLK $92.03 +.71 (.78%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -2.10, JPM -1.97, BAC -.38, MS -.73, C -1.12, PNC -1.27, AIG -1.75, TRV -3.56, AXP -2.75, V -.33 and XLF 21.32 -.47 (2.16%).
OIL, $25.62 -.87. Oil was higher over-night and the rally continued early in the day to a new recovery high of $27.98 before falling back and closing down on the day. The stocks were lower across the board with the XLE $36.15 -.97 (2.61%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,688.50 -22.10. After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. We were stopped out of our position in the 5/15 163 calls on the 50% Down Rule. We are also long NEM.
BITCOIN: closed $9340 +355. After breaking out over $7500 we have consolidated and broken over 8,000 and 8,500 and again consolidated. Today’s close is the highest since BTC broke down in early March at $9385 and 9390. $10,000-10,250 seems like the next stop. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $10.76 +.73 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to pennystocks [link] [comments]

CEOs are out...

Here are some stats to consider:
More than 1200 CEOs left their positions in 2019 which was a record year for exits.
In January 2020, 219 CEOs left their positions (which is also a record).
Lots of investors are panicking, and it has been a bloodbath with the DOW experiencing it's worst day since Black Monday.
Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive and billionaire who's fund Social Capital has delivered fantastic returns, has indicated that he believes the downside target is around that of the 2008 financial crisis (~50%).
This is now the fastest bear market after an all time high in history.
Looking at historical drawdowns and how many days it takes to reach the bottom of a bear market, it seems that the downside will continue.
This virus is serious stuff, and it is important to have cash and liquidity at this time.
One of the traditional hedging assets, gold, also plunged (apparently because hedge funds needed to cover margin calls).
DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
In the very short term, Cash is King.
In the short to medium term, I would expect gold and silver to do pretty well in the 1-3 year time frame.
In terms of a general approach for stocks, Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market is generally the way to go - the question is "how long could we go?"
Well, Chamath thinks a correction of the same level as '08 is possible - indicating that the S&P 500 could hit 1500-2000.
On a more qualitative basis, when Warren Buffett starts announcing deals is also not a bad time to start buying back in!
In the longer time frame (5-10 years), another asset that has had a terrible time recently is Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is essentially a hedge against excessive fiat printing.
The response to this situation is likely to involve a LOT of fiat printing.
Therefore, perhaps it will prove undervalued in the long term (particularly as Central Bank Digital Currencies come into play).
Only time will tell...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mGuzqC9bI4
submitted by financeoptimum to InvestmentEducation [link] [comments]

How I am trading the Dow Jones

How I am trading the Dow Jones

My current open trade positions including 2x Dow Long Trades
I currently have 2 long positions open on the Dow Jones index and have been trading the recent bull run for almost 2 weeks now. The long term trend for this index is definitely bullish and any pullbacks in price are swiftly being met by more new buyers.
Dow 4hr chart
There are a few reasons for this. Firstly, there is no reason for US stocks to sell off in a dramatic fashion. There have (and always will be) lots of rumours of a recession with US debt levels rising and stocks being “overpriced” but that alone is not a reason to expect a recession right now.
Stocks have been called overpriced since the dawn of time because naturally they increase in price as time goes on. Much like the cost of a loaf of bread, inflation causes the prices of stocks to rise and Index’s will replace stocks that lose a lot of market cap with new up and coming stocks.
The second reason people keep calling for a recession immeidately is because of the increased levels of debt and borrowing in the USA.
The levels of US debt (measured as a % of GDP) are at their highest since World War 2 but that is not a major problem. The US Dollar is still used as a global reserve currency. It is why you will see many 3rd world countries preferring to accept it over their own currency and it is used as the base for Crude Oil and Gold valuations so the demand for US dollars will almost always be apparent.
US Debt (GDP %)
Many people say Gold or Bitcoin is the next major backup for currency when the recession hits but the simple fact is that you can’t pay for anything with gold. No business is going to accept gold in exchange for food & water, rent, mortgage payments or utilities bills. And bitcoin is about as stable as 2 legged donkey.
My trade entries:
My first long position entry developed from a quick day trade I planned and entered last week. I entered a very tight stop loss, short duration trade with a reasonable reward:risk of just under 3R.
Dow 15 min chart
I spotted a good daily buying trend appearing. Price had rejected a major support zone at $28,150 and from there it one ton to make nice higher highs and higher lows through the follow 4 days of trading. I entered long on the bounce of the bullish trendline and 50 EMA.
I closed a good percentage of my position at my first profit target which is shown on the chart above. However there was strong bullish momentum and I am still holding a portion of that initial long trade position open.
Dow 4hr chart
My second long trade position was entered on Monday morning after price had made a clear higher higher low and bounced off of the intraday support/resistance zone at $28,900. There was a strong 4hr bullish wick rejection candle closure and price closed above the support zone and 50 EMA.
Both trade entries are just very simple trend continuation entries with good reward:risk ratios.
Fundamentals & data:
Later today we have the U.S Crude Oil inventories data being released. This shouldn’t move the Dow Jones Index unless a shock figure is announced. Theoretically if inventory levels are massively increased then the price of Crude will fall dramatically and this will pull stocks down. The opposite can be said if Crude Oil price rises sharply.
This evening (7pm GMT) there is the US monthly budget statement for JAN 2020 but this shouldn’t move markets in a major way. However, you may see some short term volatility moves.
The main mover of markets this week will be the USD consumer price index data that is being released tomorrow afternoon. Inflation can be a double edged sword because it can stimulate job growth and as we have seen recently, the US job market is still growing rapidly. However, inflation can also effect corporations and their profit levels because it costs more to purchase goods/materials used for production.
We also have the ongoing global issue of the Corona Virus. it initiated the last big sell-off on global indices at the end of January and the related headlines will continue to influence the markets.
Long term price predictions:
Dow daily chart
If price continues to climb today then I would like to think there is enough momentum to break through the $29,500 resistance zone. If this happens then I see no reason why new all time highs won’t be achieved and a significant daily/4hr higher will made.
Dow 4hr chart
Long term profit targets are set at $29,800 which is a higher high for price. From there, if that level breaks then the key psychological level of $30,000 is next in line. I know there are a lot of professional and institutional traders wanting to see “Dow to $30k” and I am certain Mr Trump wants to see stocks climb right up until he is re-elected.
The alternative scenario is that price finds more resistance at $29,500 and begins to drop off. This is not a major issue and I will likely look to take some more profits if rejections of that price zone begin to appear.
*Taken from my blog site https://diaryofafinancekid.com/blog/
submitted by TheModernSpeculator to Daytrading [link] [comments]

For Trading May 7th

For Trading MAY 7th
Split Market -NAZ Up, DOW Down
Earnings Galore
Today’s market was a split affair from right after the open. While the NASDAQ was higher, the DJIA and S&P 500 were sloppy at best. While the NASDAQ has regained its entire loss for 2020 (not the highs, but since 1/2/2020), the DJIA is still -5054 or 17.5% and the S&P 500 is -392 or 12%. At the highs today the DJIA was +171 and finished on the lows -218.45 (.91%), NASDAQ +45.27 (.51%), S&P 500 -20.02 (.70%), the Russell -10.50 (.82%) and the DJ Transports -115.47 (1.43%). Market internals were weak with NYSE 2:1 down and NASDAQ 1.5:1 down. Volume was also light. On the DJIA we were decidedly down with 23 lower, 6 higher and PFE unchanged. The gainers were AAPL +21 and MSFT +12 DPs while on the downside we had UNH -29 and BA & TRV -24 DPs. Sectors on the upside included Info tech and consumer discretionary while Financial, Utilities and Energy the weak groups.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/RQTFwMS1vZk
SECTORS: Earnings played a part in today’s market again. PTON was higher by 1.81 before the numbers and after the beat the stock traded as high as $42.40 and settled $41.76 + 3.73. WYNN missed top and bottom lines with the slower than expected attendance in Macau and the stock, already down from a recovery high of $152 to close the day $79.25 -.42 fell to $76.50 before a $77.40 close -1.85. ETSY was also a disappointment after closing at a new all-time high at $78.24 +5.45 (7.49%) and after hitting $84.01 fell back to $69.11 and finished $74.05 – 4.19.
But the award for the day goes to the analysts who both downgraded Macro-Genics (MGNX) and lowered their price objectives to $13 from $17 (Credit Suisse) and $15 from $16 at SVB Leerink, only to have the stock report and then be halted for volatility several times on its way from last nights close of $7.60 to $27.34 and closed $25.15 +17.55 (230.92%)…GOOD CALL…Got your resume up to date??
FOOD SUPPLY: was MIXED with TSN -2.29, BGS +1.68 (8.6%), FLO -.62, CAG +.38, MDLZ -.18, KHC +.33, CALM +.12, JJSF -6.05, SAFM +.89, and LANC -.83.
BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB +2.34, ABBV -.05, REGN -19.37, ISRG -.86, GILD -1.89, MYL +.29, TEVA +.51, VRTX -2.27, BHC +.54, INCY -2.74, ICPT +8.65 (10.77%), LABU +.46 and IBB $127.00 +.02 (.02%).
CANNABIS: This group was LOWER with TLRY -.05, CGC -.41, CRON -.18, GWPH +2.48, ACB -.01, PYX +.16, NBEV +.02, CURLF -.09, KERN -.10 and MJ $11.50 -.35 (2.95%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -11.85, GD -4.40, TXT -.30, NOC -5.71, BWXT +1.53, RTX -1.35, and ITA $144.00 -3.45 (2.34%).
RETAIL was LOWER with M -.18, JWN -.14, KSS -.52, DDS -.20, JCP -.023, WMT -1.77, TGT +1.73, TJX -.49, RL -1.19, UAA -.13, LULU +4.80, TPR -.70, CPRI -.45 and XRT $36.31 +.10 (.28%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL -3.59, AMZN +27.30, AAPL +2.44, FB +.94, NFLX +11.04, NVDA +3.26, TSLA +11.39, BABA +.38, BIDU +.75, CMG -4.23, CAT -1.45, BA -3.70, DIS -.25 and XLK $92.03 +.71 (.78%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -2.10, JPM -1.97, BAC -.38, MS -.73, C -1.12, PNC -1.27, AIG -1.75, TRV -3.56, AXP -2.75, V -.33 and XLF 21.32 -.47 (2.16%).
OIL, $25.62 -.87. Oil was higher over-night and the rally continued early in the day to a new recovery high of $27.98 before falling back and closing down on the day. The stocks were lower across the board with the XLE $36.15 -.97 (2.61%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,688.50 -22.10. After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. We were stopped out of our position in the 5/15 163 calls on the 50% Down Rule. We are also long NEM.
BITCOIN: closed $9340 +355. After breaking out over $7500 we have consolidated and broken over 8,000 and 8,500 and again consolidated. Today’s close is the highest since BTC broke down in early March at $9385 and 9390. $10,000-10,250 seems like the next stop. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $10.76 +.73 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to OptionsOnly [link] [comments]

Today's Pre-Market News [Wednesday, February 12th, 2020]

Good morning traders and investors of the stocks sub! Welcome to Wednesday. Here is your pre-market news this AM-

Today's Top Headlines for Wednesday, February 12th, 2020

STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)
(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)

YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

([CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!](https://i.imgur.com/ifUy0wj.png)
(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

  • SHOP
  • TEVA
  • CVS
  • LYFT
  • ROKU
  • BBBY
  • MRNA
  • CYBR

THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

(source: cnbc.com)
CVS Health (CVS) – The drug store operator beat estimates by 5 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $1.73 per share. Revenue also beat forecasts and CVS gave a full-year EPS outlook of $7.04 to $7.17, compared to a consensus estimate of $7.15 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CVS

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Molson Coors (TAP) – The beer brewer earned $1.02 per share for the fourth quarter, well above the 78 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also beat Wall Street projections, despite what Molson Coors calls “significant headwinds and continued volume declines.”

STOCK SYMBOL: TAP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) – The world’s largest generic drugmaker beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 62 cents per share. Revenue also topped expectations.

STOCK SYMBOL: TEVA

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Moody’s (MCO) – The credit-rating agency earned $2.00 per share for the fourth quarter, 7 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also came in above analysts’ forecasts. The company’s full-year outlook for 2020 is also largely above consensus. Moody’s said it is benefiting from increased global bond issuance, as well as increasing demand for research from its Moody’s Analytics unit.

STOCK SYMBOL: MCO

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Shopify (SHOP) – The e-commerce platform company earned an adjusted 43 cents per share for its latest quarter, compared to a consensus estimate of 24 cents a share. Revenue also beat forecasts on strong Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales on Shopify’s platform.

STOCK SYMBOL: SHOP

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
CyberArk Software (CYBR) – The cybersecurity company beat estimates by 16 cents A share, with quarterly earnings of 97 cents per share. Revenue also came in above consensus. CyberArk said, however, that its full-year adjusted EPS outlook is $2.26-$2.38, below the consensus estimate of $2.79 a share.

STOCK SYMBOL: CYBR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Lyft (LYFT) – Lyft lost $1.19 per share for the fourth quarter, 20 cents a share less than Wall Street had been expecting. The ride-hailing service’s revenue beat consensus estimates. Lyft also said it is still on track to achieve a key measure of profitability by the end of 2021.

STOCK SYMBOL: LYFT

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) – The housewares retailer said same-store sales were down a greater-than-expected 5.4% in December and January, amid increased promotional pricing, lower store traffic, and issues with inventory management.

STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Akamai Technologies (AKAM) – Akamai reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. Akamai’s ’s revenue also beat Street forecasts. Results were driven by strong growth in its cloud security unit, as well as upbeat results for its flagship content delivery platform business.

STOCK SYMBOL: AKAM

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Alphabet (GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will be in court today, seeking to overturn one of three record European Union antitrust fines. Google had been fined $2.6 billion for allegedly favoring its own price comparison shopping service over those of smaller European competitors.

STOCK SYMBOL: GOOGL

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
NCR (NCR) – NCR beat estimates by a penny a share, with quarterly profit of 85 cents per share. The payment processing software and services provider’s revenue was also above Street forecasts.

STOCK SYMBOL: NCR

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Western Union (WU) – Western Union reported quarterly earnings of 38 cents per share, 5 cents a share below estimates. The payment processing company’s revenue also beat forecasts, and Western Union gave an upbeat outlook for 2020. The company announced a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend as well.

STOCK SYMBOL: WU

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)
Macerich (MAC) – Macerich was downgraded to “underweight” from “neutral” at Piper Sandler, which thinks Simon Property’s (SPG) acquisition of Taubman Centers (TCO) makes an acquisition of the shopping center operator less likely.

STOCK SYMBOL: MAC

(CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

DISCUSS!

What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at stocks?

I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 12th, 2020! :)

submitted by bigbear0083 to stocks [link] [comments]

CEOs are out...

Here are some stats to consider:
More than 1200 CEOs left their positions in 2019 which was a record year for exits.
In January 2020, 219 CEOs left their positions (which is also a record).
Lots of investors are panicking, and it has been a bloodbath with the DOW experiencing it's worst day since Black Monday.
Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive and billionaire who's fund Social Capital has delivered fantastic returns, has indicated that he believes the downside target is around that of the 2008 financial crisis (~50%).
This is now the fastest bear market after an all time high in history.
Looking at historical drawdowns and how many days it takes to reach the bottom of a bear market, it seems that the downside will continue.
This virus is serious stuff, and it is important to have cash and liquidity at this time.
One of the traditional hedging assets, gold, also plunged (apparently because hedge funds needed to cover margin calls).
DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
In the very short term, Cash is King.
In the short to medium term, I would expect gold and silver to do pretty well in the 1-3 year time frame.
In terms of a general approach for stocks, Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market is generally the way to go - the question is "how long could we go?"
Well, Chamath thinks a correction of the same level as '08 is possible - indicating that the S&P 500 could hit 1500-2000.
On a more qualitative basis, when Warren Buffett starts announcing deals is also not a bad time to start buying back in!
In the longer time frame (5-10 years), another asset that has had a terrible time recently is Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is essentially a hedge against excessive fiat printing.
The response to this situation is likely to involve a LOT of fiat printing.
Therefore, perhaps it will prove undervalued in the long term (particularly as Central Bank Digital Currencies come into play).
Only time will tell...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mGuzqC9bI4
submitted by financeoptimum to investing_discussion [link] [comments]

Can Bitcoin separate from the independent market

Can Bitcoin separate from the independent market
Recently, the price of Bitcoin plunged to $ 3,600 on BitMEX and $ 3,800 on Bitfinex, setting the worst one-day drop in seven years. The sell-off coincided with a sharp correction in the US stock market.
Bitcoin, at least in theory, should be a safe-haven asset immune to the turbulence of traditional financial markets. However, in the past two weeks, as investors frantically sold high-risk assets, Bitcoin has begun to fall in sync with the stock market.
Do US stocks dive leading crypto market down?
Over the past week, the bitcoin price has responded to several key events, including President Trump's announcement of a 30-day travel ban between the United States and Europe, and the Federal Reserve's announcement to reduce the federal benchmark interest rate to 0.00% -0.25% Levels and more.
Compared with the trend of S & P 500, Bitcoin is almost the same as Bitcoin.
https://preview.redd.it/2asc4s2plfn41.png?width=600&format=png&auto=webp&s=495f610ada720436a3abfd8e97d66ac062def543
OKEx's advanced analysis is that William told Golden Finance, "Just as bitcoin price has no correlation with gold, there is no obvious correlation between bitcoin and U.S. stocks. The reason why U.S. stocks and bitcoin are falling is that the market is too lacking Liquidity, all funds are looking for safe, liquid assets. "
He explained by way of example that, in normal time, the water in the well is difficult to connect with the water in the lake; but the sky fell and the water levels of the lake and the well fell sharply. Even so, there was not much connection between the two sides. Just because of the influence of the big climate.
US stocks are about to open. How is Bitcoin trending?
In the early morning of March 18, local time, all three major US stock index futures fell, triggering trading restrictions.
The S & P 500 index futures contract for June 2020 fell to 2393.50 points, down 3.70%, hitting trading restrictions. The NASDAQ (7334.78, 430.19, 6.23%) index futures contract for June 2020 fell to 7064.25 points, hitting trading restrictions. The Dow Jones (21237.3809, 1048.86, 5.20%) index for the June 2020 contract was reported at 2039 points, which also hit trading restrictions.
Only 2 hours from the opening of the US stock market, will the US stocks reappear?
In this regard, industry analysts believe that the current US government is preparing to introduce the US $ 700 billion to the US $ 1 trillion stimulus plan and issue it directly to the public. All the US stocks rose due to this positive impact yesterday. But whether the liquidity crisis can be resolved is still a question mark. In addition, there are already confirmed cases in all states in the United States, the number of confirmed diagnoses in Europe is also rising sharply, a large number of factory shutdowns, which has a great impact on the stock market, so the probability of US stocks will fall in the next few months. Investors are not advised to take a dip at this time. It is now a crisis period and a dip is now a high-risk event. Regarding Bitcoin, it is recommended that you do not buy it, for the time being, at least it is not too late to buy it after the liquidity crisis has passed.
In terms of technical indicators, BTC remained within the rising triangle range formed after the recent big drop. The rebound started yesterday evening with the rise of U.S. stocks, but the strength was limited, and it was difficult to form a more powerful rebound in the short term. After wearing the Bollinger Middle Rail for 4 hours, the MACD bullish measuring column started to weaken above the 0 axes. The fast and slow lines have flattened, and the short-term upward momentum is insufficient. In the near future, it is still shock-organized. Parallel head up, volume matching, and breaking through the 4-hour potential double bottom neckline to suppress the high point of $ 5,950. Later, it is expected to test the previous low of 6400-6500. At present, the support below is the uptrend line. Today's limit is 4850. US dollar, the next 4-hour level is 4880 US dollars, short-term support to increase about 30 US dollars every 4 hours, the short-term operation can pay attention to these positions, the current overall maintenance of the triangle interval, waiting for direction choice.
https://preview.redd.it/gi1j9jewlfn41.png?width=600&format=png&auto=webp&s=bcdd2da52cd6a7de41d561c21760d8ff7eb6fc32
submitted by FinnHe to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

For Trading May 7th

Split Market -NAZ Up, DOW Down
Earnings Galore
Today’s market was a split affair from right after the open. While the NASDAQ was higher, the DJIA and S&P 500 were sloppy at best. While the NASDAQ has regained its entire loss for 2020 (not the highs, but since 1/2/2020), the DJIA is still -5054 or 17.5% and the S&P 500 is -392 or 12%. At the highs today the DJIA was +171 and finished on the lows -218.45 (.91%), NASDAQ +45.27 (.51%), S&P 500 -20.02 (.70%), the Russell -10.50 (.82%) and the DJ Transports -115.47 (1.43%). Market internals were weak with NYSE 2:1 down and NASDAQ 1.5:1 down. Volume was also light. On the DJIA we were decidedly down with 23 lower, 6 higher and PFE unchanged. The gainers were AAPL +21 and MSFT +12 DPs while on the downside we had UNH -29 and BA & TRV -24 DPs. Sectors on the upside included Info tech and consumer discretionary while Financial, Utilities and Energy the weak groups.
Our “open forum” on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It’s a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we’ve grown to almost 1900 members. I also did this video titled “How to survive being an options trader and not blow up your account,” over the long weekend. I think it’s very informative as a guide to stock selection and option choices. The link is https://youtu.be/Y7H9RpWfLlo Enjoy!!
Tonight’s closing comment video https://youtu.be/RQTFwMS1vZk
SECTORS: Earnings played a part in today’s market again. PTON was higher by 1.81 before the numbers and after the beat the stock traded as high as $42.40 and settled $41.76 + 3.73. WYNN missed top and bottom lines with the slower than expected attendance in Macau and the stock, already down from a recovery high of $152 to close the day $79.25 -.42 fell to $76.50 before a $77.40 close -1.85. ETSY was also a disappointment after closing at a new all-time high at $78.24 +5.45 (7.49%) and after hitting $84.01 fell back to $69.11 and finished $74.05 – 4.19.
But the award for the day goes to the analysts who both downgraded Macro-Genics (MGNX) and lowered their price objectives to $13 from $17 (Credit Suisse) and $15 from $16 at SVB Leerink, only to have the stock report and then be halted for volatility several times on its way from last nights close of $7.60 to $27.34 and closed $25.15 +17.55 (230.92%)…GOOD CALL…Got your resume up to date??
FOOD SUPPLY: was MIXED with TSN -2.29, BGS +1.68 (8.6%), FLO -.62, CAG +.38, MDLZ -.18, KHC +.33, CALM +.12, JJSF -6.05, SAFM +.89, and LANC -.83.
BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with BIIB +2.34, ABBV -.05, REGN -19.37, ISRG -.86, GILD -1.89, MYL +.29, TEVA +.51, VRTX -2.27, BHC +.54, INCY -2.74, ICPT +8.65 (10.77%), LABU +.46 and IBB $127.00 +.02 (.02%).
CANNABIS: This group was LOWER with TLRY -.05, CGC -.41, CRON -.18, GWPH +2.48, ACB -.01, PYX +.16, NBEV +.02, CURLF -.09, KERN -.10 and MJ $11.50 -.35 (2.95%).
DEFENSE: was LOWER with LMT -11.85, GD -4.40, TXT -.30, NOC -5.71, BWXT +1.53, RTX -1.35, and ITA $144.00 -3.45 (2.34%).
RETAIL was LOWER with M -.18, JWN -.14, KSS -.52, DDS -.20, JCP -.023, WMT -1.77, TGT +1.73, TJX -.49, RL -1.19, UAA -.13, LULU +4.80, TPR -.70, CPRI -.45 and XRT $36.31 +.10 (.28%).
FAANG and Big Cap: were HIGHER with GOOGL -3.59, AMZN +27.30, AAPL +2.44, FB +.94, NFLX +11.04, NVDA +3.26, TSLA +11.39, BABA +.38, BIDU +.75, CMG -4.23, CAT -1.45, BA -3.70, DIS -.25 and XLK $92.03 +.71 (.78%).
FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -2.10, JPM -1.97, BAC -.38, MS -.73, C -1.12, PNC -1.27, AIG -1.75, TRV -3.56, AXP -2.75, V -.33 and XLF 21.32 -.47 (2.16%).
OIL, $25.62 -.87. Oil was higher over-night and the rally continued early in the day to a new recovery high of $27.98 before falling back and closing down on the day. The stocks were lower across the board with the XLE $36.15 -.97 (2.61%).
METALS, GOLD: $1,688.50 -22.10. After the recent gains, Gold broke solidly above $1,700 and traded as high as $1788 last Wednesday. We were stopped out of our position in the 5/15 163 calls on the 50% Down Rule. We are also long NEM.
BITCOIN: closed $9340 +355. After breaking out over $7500 we have consolidated and broken over 8,000 and 8,500 and again consolidated. Today’s close is the highest since BTC broke down in early March at $9385 and 9390. $10,000-10,250 seems like the next stop. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $10.76 +.73 today.
Tomorrow is another day.
CAM
submitted by Dashover to options [link] [comments]

End of day summary - 11/20

The Dow fell 112.93, or 0.40%, to 27,821.09 , the Nasdaq fell 43.93, or 0.51%, to 8,526.73 , and the S&P 500 declined 11.72, or 0.38%, to 3,108.46.
The S&P 500 declined as much as 0.9% on Wednesday after Reuters reported that a Phase One trade deal may not get completed this year. Stocks cut losses throughout the afternoon, leaving the benchmark index down 0.4% for the session -- comparable to the losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.4%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.5%), and Russell 2000 (-0.4%).
The negative-sounding headline conflicted with the optimistic tone struck by top White House officials, including Commerce Secretary Ross just last night. Also transpiring last night was the U.S. Senate passing the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act, much to the contempt of China. Altogether, it seemed like a good time to take profits, especially if the Dec. 15 tariffs still go into effect.
The trade-sensitive areas of the market like the S&P 500 materials (-1.2%), industrials (-0.8%), and information technology (-0.7%) sectors led the decline. The communication services sector (-0.8%), which contains many growth-oriented stocks, also underperformed.
Unsurprisingly, though, selling pressure quickly abated amid an opportunistic mindset among investors eagerly awaiting a dip. In addition, the details of the report were not as foreboding as the headline, and knee-jerk selling, suggested. Tucked in the report was a line indicating that some "China and trade experts" were still optimistic about a deal in the coming weeks.
Leading the afternoon comeback was the energy sector (+1.0%), which found reprieve amid a 3% rebound in oil prices ($56.91, +1.70, +3.1%). The defensive-oriented utilities (+0.6%), consumer staples (+0.2%), and real estate (+0.03%) sectors also finished in positive territory.
Separately, the release of the FOMC Minutes from the October meeting didn't draw much attention, as it was consistent with the prevailing view about monetary policy since that meeting. Economic data was limited to the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index, which declined 2.2% following a 9.6% increase in the prior week.
Among the noteworthy gainers was TGT, which jumped 12% after the retailer reported better than expected sales and profits for the third quarter and raised its full-year forecast ahead of the critical holiday quarter. Discussing the results, chairman and CEO Brian Cornell touted that Target is "seeing industry-leading strength across multiple metrics, from the top line to the bottom line.". LOW is also rising 4% following its own "beat and raise" third quarter report, with CEO Marvin Ellison attributing the "strong" earnings per share growth to the company's "improved execution.
Also higher was was PAYC, which rose 8.46% after RBC Capital Mkts upgraded to Outperform,which states that it is "increasingly confident in [co's] ability to realize price, improve retention, and drive a long runway of continued market disruption and penetration." The stock, which had already risen by +13% month-to-date as of yesterday's close, today touched up to new all-time highs. I also gained 15% after Raymond James analyst Richard Prentiss upgraded the stock to Outperform from Market Perform.
Among the notable losers was PDD, which dumped 23.04% after missing consensus for Q3 EPS. WBK sinked to its lowest levels since last December on higher than average volume after being accused by regulators of breaching anti-money laundering laws. Co's management acknowledged co's recognition that certain issues pertinent to the proceedings, such as a previously disclosed self-reported failure to report a large number of international funds transfer instructions, "should never have occurred and should have been identified and rectified sooner"; co "is carefully reviewing the claim and will be working constructively with AUSTRAC to resolve the matter."
Also lower was URBN, which slid 14% after reporting quarterly results along with China's PDD, which fell 21%.
GM filed a lawsuit today in U.S. District Court in Detroit alleging FCAU got an unfair business advantage by bribing officials of the United Auto Workers union, Tom Krisher of Associated Press reported . The suit alleges that Fiat corrupted the bargaining process with the UAW in the 2009, 2011 and 2015 union contracts to gain advantages over GM. Shares of Fiat Chrysler were down 2.5% immediately following the AP's report, while GM was down 2%.
Elsewhere, The pan-European Stoxx 600 was 0.3% lower at the closing bell. Mainland Chinese stocks ended the day lower, with the Shanghai composite down 0.78% to 2,911.05 and the Shenzhen component shedding 0.82% to 9,809.05. The Shenzhen composite was around 0.707% lower at 1,635.16. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index slipped about 0.73%, as of its final hour of trading.

Currency

The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.1% to 97.93.

Treasury

U.S. Treasuries enjoyed another day of solid gains that pressured yields on the 5-yr note, the 10-yr note, and the 30-yr bond back below their respective 50-day moving averages. Treasuries backed off their morning levels in midday trade but jumped to fresh highs after Reuters reported that the partial trade deal with China may not get signed this year. President Trump was asked about negotiations with China a bit later, to which he responded, "China wants to make a deal. The question is: Do I want to make a deal? Because I like what's happening right now. We're taking in billions and billions of dollars."

Commodity

Oil gained more than 3% on Wednesday after data showed a smaller than expected build in U.S. inventories. The move also came as tensions in the Middle East rose, with Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed they intercepted a Saudi warplane. Gold fell, retreating from a two-week high hit earlier in the session,** after the United States started issuing licenses for some companies to supply goods to Chinese firm Huawei, rekindling hopes for trade negotiations that had shown signs of turning more contentious.**

Crypto

As it stands, most of the cryptocurrencies in the top 30 by market capitalization are in the red, with BTC, ETH and XRP down between 1-2% each.

YTD

  • Nas +28.5%
  • Spoos +24.0%
  • Old Man +18.0%
  • Rusell +19.3%

AH News

  • SONO Earnings - EPS (28c) vs (22c). 4Q Rev. $294.2M, Est. $289.2M
  • U.S. Senator Markey: Amazon Ring's policies 'open door' for privacy violations
  • PayPal To Buy Honey For Around $4.0 Bln
  • Unusual options: CGC (calls), PM (puts)
Summary scraped from the interweb. Took 0.06 seconds.
submitted by hibernating_brain to thewallstreet [link] [comments]

CEOs are out...

Here are some stats to consider:
More than 1200 CEOs left their positions in 2019 which was a record year for exits.
In January 2020, 219 CEOs left their positions (which is also a record).
Lots of investors are panicking, and it has been a bloodbath with the DOW experiencing it's worst day since Black Monday.
Chamath Palihapitiya, the former Facebook executive and billionaire who's fund Social Capital has delivered fantastic returns, has indicated that he believes the downside target is around that of the 2008 financial crisis (~50%).
This is now the fastest bear market after an all time high in history.
Looking at historical drawdowns and how many days it takes to reach the bottom of a bear market, it seems that the downside will continue.
This virus is serious stuff, and it is important to have cash and liquidity at this time.
One of the traditional hedging assets, gold, also plunged (apparently because hedge funds needed to cover margin calls).
DISCLAIMER: NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
In the very short term, Cash is King.
In the short to medium term, I would expect gold and silver to do pretty well in the 1-3 year time frame.
In terms of a general approach for stocks, Dollar Cost Averaging in a Bear Market is generally the way to go - the question is "how long could we go?"
Well, Chamath thinks a correction of the same level as '08 is possible - indicating that the S&P 500 could hit 1500-2000.
On a more qualitative basis, when Warren Buffett starts announcing deals is also not a bad time to start buying back in!
In the longer time frame (5-10 years), another asset that has had a terrible time recently is Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is essentially a hedge against excessive fiat printing.
The response to this situation is likely to involve a LOT of fiat printing.
Therefore, perhaps it will prove undervalued in the long term (particularly as Central Bank Digital Currencies come into play).
Only time will tell...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mGuzqC9bI4
submitted by financeoptimum to economy [link] [comments]

BITCOIN LONGS HIT ALL TIME HIGH? WHAT?? Bullish Or Bearish For Bitcoin? Bitcoin Hits All-Time High WHEN WILL BITCOIN HIT ALL TIME HIGH - HOW ABOUT ALTSEASON? Bitcoin hits ALL TIME HIGH of $9000  How to get started? Bitcoin Futures Volume Hits All Time High! Is NOW the Time to BUY? BTC Target Price = $1,000,000?!

The value of Bitcoin virtual currency has increased 20-fold in the past year and hit an all-time high of $309.68 on Mt. Gox, the world’s largest Bitcoin exchange. Growth sustainability is at risk as new 'Silk Road' makes it a target of the US government. Bitcoin Block Size Hits New All-Time High. Christine Vasileva Dec 19, 2019 08:45 . Share. Tweet. Send. Share. The Bitcoin network keeps improving in multiple parameters, and this time, mean block size peaked, carrying the heaviest set of transactions on record. Block Size Growth Remains Organic. A Bitcoin block has a variable size, though relatively small blocks usually propagate. There is ... In 2014 Bitcoin saw an almost identical price of 80% from its all-time high. The similarities of the 2014 and our 2018 situation can be drawn from the eruption of a notably similar retail investor bubble. During the June recovery it seemed the notable bitcoin rise and the short altcoin rally had brought stability and hope to the market, but after 12 days of gains we saw a massive sell off on ... Data from Bitcoin mining pool BTC.com shows that Bitcoin’s mining difficulty has increased by nearly 10% over the last two weeks to hit a new all-time high of 17.35 trillion (T).. The cryptocurrency’s mining difficulty measures how hard it is for miners to find blocks on the network, and reap the rewards. Bitcoin Hash Rate Hits All-Time High: Here is How It Works And How It Affects The Price Author: Wesley Messamore Last Updated Jun 24, 2020 @ 13:44. Bitcoin intelligence, data, and analytics firm Glassnode found the Bitcoin hash rate hit a new all-time high over the weekend, ten days before the Bitcoin halving event. In other words, miners are putting more computational power into maintaining ...

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BITCOIN LONGS HIT ALL TIME HIGH? WHAT?? Bullish Or Bearish For Bitcoin?

Check out the Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis Academy here: https://bit.ly/2EMS6nY Join the Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis Academy for $40 off using the coupon code "christmas2019". Join the ... Bitcoin BTC gets pumped to an all time high of $3,290.01 today! Ethereum ETH is also up for the day. Should you buy in now or sell out? This is what I'm doing. Subscribe for new videos - https ... In this video I cover that Bitcoin has hit an ALL TIME HIGH of $9000! I also show PROOF, PROGRESS & RESULTS of the 3 businesses inside the Cryptocurrency Blitz system. Part of this video series is ... Bitcoin hits an all time high of OVER $4,500! What does this mean for the market moving forward? And what's the difference between Fiat crypto conversions an... #Bitcoin continues to slump as Dow Jone hits all time high! Is now a good time to buy BTC? IRS changes tune on cryptocurrency based taxed payments, analyzing BTC fractals, India crypto regulation ...

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